INSIDE THE LINES
TUESDAY, JUNE 23
INTERLEAGUE
Chicago Cubs (34-32) at Detroit (38-31)
The streaking Tigers send Edwin Jackson (6-4, 2.39 ERA) to the mound, while the Cubs will counter with ace Carlos Zambrano (4-2, 3.44) as these squads hook up for the first time in three years.
Chicago tallied 10 hits on Monday in a makeup game at Atlanta, but couldn’t push across a run, leaving 12 runners on base in a 2-0 loss. Prior to the shutout defeat, the Cubs had won four in a row thanks to an offense that exploded for 26 runs. Lou Piniella’s club has still won seven of 11 against right-handed starters, but it is also just 4-11 in its last 15 road games overall and 0-6 in its last six in American League parks.
Detroit took Monday off after edging Milwaukee 3-2 on Sunday for its fourth win in a row, all versus the N.L. Central. The Tigers’ four-game run has been sparked by an offense that’s produced 28 runs scored, and the surge comes after a 1-5 stretch in which they managed just 17 runs. Detroit is on positive streaks of 5-0 at home, 4-0 against right-handed starters, 49-21 in interleague action and 40-12 in interleague home games. On the downside, Detroit has lost seven of eight after a day off and 12 of its last 15 on Tuesday.
These teams last met in June 2006, with Detroit sweeping a three-game series at Wrigley Field, outscoring the Cubs 26-9. Detroit has won four straight meetings overall and six of eight since 2000, but the visitor is 7-1 during this stretch.
Zambrano is coming off his fourth straight quality start, holding the White Sox to three runs on six hits in seven innings Thursday, but he got a no-decision as the Cubs scored five runs in the final two innings for a 6-5 victory. Zambrano is 2-0 with a 1.61 ERA in his last four starts, and the big right-hander has allowed three runs or fewer in eight consecutive outings.
With Zambrano on the bump, Chicago is on upticks of 8-3 overall, 40-16 on the road, 5-2 in interleague play, 4-1 on Tuesday, 5-1 against the A.L. Central and 10-2 in series openers. He’s 3-1 with a 2.58 ERA in six road games this season, and he’ll be facing the Tigers for the first time in his career tonight.
Jackson’s tough luck continued Wednesday, as he gave up three runs in six innings but lost 4-3 in St. Louis. Jackson has yielded three earned runs or fewer in eight straight starts, pitching at least six innings in seven of those contests, and he’s 5-2 with a 1.92 ERA during this stretch. Jackson is 3-1 with a 3.00 ERA in six home starts this season, and like Zambrano versus the Tigers, the right-hander is making his first-ever start against the Cubs in this contest.
The under is 4-1 in Zambrano’s last five starts overall, but otherwise he’s on “over” streaks of 8-1 in interleague play, 5-1 against the A.L. Central and 4-0 on Tuesday. Meanwhile, Jackson’s last six starts have stayed under the total.
The Cubs carry “under” trends of 21-9 overall, 7-1 on the highway, 10-2 against winning teams, 14-6 versus right-handed starters and 10-4-1 in series openers. Similarly, the Tigers are on “under” runs of 11-4 at home, 5-2 in interleague home games, 19-7 versus right-handed starters and 4-1 after an off day. However, five of the last six Cubs-Tigers clashes have topped the posted total.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE
Philadelphia (36-31) at Tampa Bay (37-34)
Last year’s surprising World Series participants begin a three-game interleague series at Tropicana Field, with veteran Jamie Moyer (4-6, 6.35) slated to toe the slab for the Phillies against Rays phenom David Price (1-1, 3.46).
Philadelphia hits the road after a disastrous 1-9 homestand, all against teams from the A.L. East. The Phillies ended the homestand by getting swept in consecutive three-game series against the Blue Jays and Orioles, as they were outscored 38-19, ending with Sunday’s 2-1 loss to Baltimore. The good news for Philadelphia is it has by far baseball’s best road record at 23-9, compared with a 13-22 mark at home.
Dating to last season, the Phillies are 37-16 in their last 53 on the road, though they have dropped 19 of their last 28 in A.L. Parks and they’ve lost five straight games against left-handed starters.
Tampa Bay was idle Monday after ending a six-game road trip with consecutive wins over the Mets by scores of 3-1 on Saturday and 10-6 on Sunday. The Rays are on hot streaks of 8-3 overall, 79-32 at the Trop, 44-16 when hosting teams with a winning record, 9-3 as a favorite, 5-1 against lefty starters, 4-0 in interleague home games and 5-1 against the N.L. East.
Philadelphia needed only five games to oust Tampa Bay in last year’s Fall Classic and win its first World Series title since 1980. The Phillies won the opener 3-2 in Tampa, then the home team took the final four contests. Going back to 2000, these squads have met 12 times, with the host going 9-3. In fact, Philadelphia has lost five of its last six games at the Trop.
Moyer’s streak of three straight quality starts (2.84 ERA) came to a screeching halt in Wednesday’s 7-1 home loss to Toronto, as he gave up six runs on 10 hits in six innings.
The Phillies are 2-6 in Moyer’s last eight trips to the mound, 1-4 in his last five as an underdog and 1-4 in his last five interleague outings.
Moyer is 2-2 with a 5.40 ERA in six road games this season and 8-4 with a 2.84 ERA in 15 career regular-season starts against the Rays. The 46-year-old southpaw also faced Tampa Bay in Game 3 of last year’s World Series, allowing three runs on five hits in 6 1/3 innings of a 5-4 Philadelphia win.
Price lasted a season-high seven innings at Colorado on Wednesday, but also surrendered season highs of five runs and 10 hits in a 5-3 defeat, though he didn’t walk a batter after issuing 18 free passes in his first five starts. The Rays have won both of Price’s home starts this year, with the lefty surrendering one run in five innings in each game (1.80 ERA). Price came out of the bullpen twice in the World Series last year against the Phillies and gave up two runs (one earned) in 3 1/3 innings.
Philadelphia is riding “under” streaks of 17-8-1 in interleague play, 6-0 in A.L. ballparks, 9-4 as an underdog, 9-4 against southpaw starters, 7-2-1 in series openers and 5-1-1 on artificial turf. Also, with Moyer pitching, the “under” is on runs of 6-0 overall, 4-0-1 in interleague action, 16-6-1 as an underdog and 9-2 as a road pup. Likewise, the “under” for Tampa Bay is on streaks of 4-1 overall (all in interleague play), 12-4-1 as a favorite, 24-9-1 in interleague home games, 25-11 at home against lefty starters and 4-1 on Tuesday.
Finally, the under is 4-1-1 in the last six head-to-head meetings in Tampa Bay, including 2-0 in last year’s Fall Classic.
ATS ADVANTAGE: TAMPA BAY and UNDER